Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Ericstan Park
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.64)
1.61 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.4% | 24.6% | 60.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.1%
0 - 2
13.7%
1 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Nantwich Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Wythenshawe Town | 0 | 10.7% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Nantwich Town carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 95 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Wythenshawe Town +2.8, Nantwich Town -28.5.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Wythenshawe Town
vs
Nantwich Town
Elo gapNantwich Town +95
Home / draw / away30% / 19% / 51%
Expected home share37%
Combined Elo2874.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2874.2
Elo home share
37%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Wythenshawe Town | Nantwich Town |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1371.9 | 1502.3 |
| Form Elo | 1362.9 | 1491.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1437.6 | 1505.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1390.7 | 1592.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1267.6 | 1442.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +2.8 | -28.5 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Wythenshawe Town last-5 Elo change: +2.8; Nantwich Town last-5 Elo change: -28.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Wythenshawe Town | Nantwich Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 27% |
| Attack | 42% | 37% |
| Defense | 26% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Wythenshawe Town | Nantwich Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 19 | 22 | 41 | 20 | 20 | 40 |
| Wins | 16% | 27% | 22% | 45% | 30% | 38% |
| Draws | 26% | 9% | 17% | 15% | 25% | 20% |
| Loses | 58% | 64% | 61% | 40% | 45% | 43% |
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League goals
| Metric | Wythenshawe Town | Nantwich Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 24 | 40 | 39 | 21 | 60 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 38 | 51 | 89 | 38 | 26 | 64 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Wythenshawe Town | Nantwich Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 54% | 90% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 34% | 61% | 40% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 32% | 20% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 20% | 5% | 15% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Wythenshawe Town | Nantwich Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 9 | 10 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Wythenshawe Town | Nantwich Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Wythenshawe Town | Nantwich Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 8 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 6-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-7 | 6-0 | 0-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Wythenshawe Town | Nantwich Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 48.8% | 51.2% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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