Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 14:00 •
Stadionul Emil Alexandrescu II
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.68)
0.81 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.0% | 28.2% | 22.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.6%
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Cetatea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| USV Iaşi | 0 | 11.7% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.6% | 12.6% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.5% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | USV Iaşi | Cetatea |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 4 |
| Form | 27% | 50% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | USV Iaşi | Cetatea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 20% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 67% | 60% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
Form: USV Iaşi: DWLLL • Cetatea: LWLW
League goals
| Metric | USV Iaşi | Cetatea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 2.8 |
| GA total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | USV Iaşi | Cetatea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 100% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 80% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | USV Iaşi | Cetatea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | USV Iaşi | Cetatea |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | USV Iaşi | Cetatea |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | — | 7-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-2 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | USV Iaşi | Cetatea |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 39% | 61% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 40.8% | 59.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Cetatea
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): USV Iaşi = 1.34 (league 1.68), Cetatea = 0.81 (league 1.24)
| Cetatea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| USV Iaşi | 0 | 11.7% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.6% | 12.6% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.5% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.0% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 22.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1