Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 05:30 •
Kowloon Bay Park
Expected Goals
2.74 (league 1.91)
5.84 (league 1.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.1% | 7.2% | 30.0% |
best score tips
2 - 5
4.0%
3 - 5
3.6%
2 - 4
3.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Sham Shui Po | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Citizen AA | 0 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Citizen AA | Sham Shui Po |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 0% | 33% |
| Attack | 17% | 43% |
| Defense | 30% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 10 | 2.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 16 | 4 | 10 | 2.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
6.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
8.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
70%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Citizen AA | Sham Shui Po | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
Form: Citizen AA: LLLL • Sham Shui Po: LLWD
League goals
| Metric | Citizen AA | Sham Shui Po | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 |
| GA total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| GA avg | 4.5 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Citizen AA | Sham Shui Po | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 100% | 25% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 75% | 25% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 25% | 25% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Citizen AA | Sham Shui Po | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Citizen AA | Sham Shui Po |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Citizen AA | Sham Shui Po |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 8-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | — | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Citizen AA | Sham Shui Po |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 48% | 52% |
| Total | 41.3% | 58.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sham Shui Po and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Citizen AA = 2.74 (league 1.91), Sham Shui Po = 5.84 (league 1.92)
| Sham Shui Po | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Citizen AA | 0 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.1% · Draw 7.2% · Away win 30.0%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1