Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 07:30 •
Happy Valley Recreation Ground #1
Expected Goals
0.34 (league 1.93)
1.53 (league 1.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.8% | 24.5% | 67.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
23.7%
0 - 2
18.1%
0 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Shatin | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| South China | 0 | 15.5% | 23.7% | 18.1% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | South China | Shatin |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 58% | 75% |
| Attack | 18% | 45% |
| Defense | 86% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 10 | 2.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 4 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | South China | Shatin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 100% | 67% | 75% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 33% | 25% |
Form: South China: LWWD • Shatin: WLWW
League goals
| Metric | South China | Shatin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 10 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | South China | Shatin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | South China | Shatin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | South China | Shatin |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | South China | Shatin |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-2 | 1-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | — | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | South China | Shatin |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 19% | 81% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 47.8% | 52.2% |
Advice: Double chance : South China or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): South China = 0.34 (league 1.93), Shatin = 1.53 (league 1.96)
| Shatin | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| South China | 0 | 15.5% | 23.7% | 18.1% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.8% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 67.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1