Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 05:30 •
Ma On Shan Recreation Ground
Expected Goals
6.21 (league 1.93)
2.04 (league 1.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
best score tips
5 - 2
4.2%
5 - 1
4.1%
4 - 2
3.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Hoi King | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Metro Gallery Sun Source | 0 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Metro Gallery Sun Source | Hoi King |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 87% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 57% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 23 | 4.6 | 16 | 3.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
7.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
10.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
70%
FT probability
BTTS
91%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Metro Gallery Sun Source | Hoi King | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 67% | 80% | 67% | 100% | 80% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Metro Gallery Sun Source: WWLWW • Hoi King: WWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Metro Gallery Sun Source | Hoi King | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 11 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| GF avg | 6.0 | 3.7 | 4.6 | 2.7 | 4.0 | 3.2 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Metro Gallery Sun Source | Hoi King | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 60% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 40% | 100% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 80% | 20% | 60% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 60% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 40% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Metro Gallery Sun Source | Hoi King | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Metro Gallery Sun Source | Hoi King |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Metro Gallery Sun Source | Hoi King |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 9-0 | 1-5 | 4-2 | 3-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | — | — |
| Goals For | 9 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Metro Gallery Sun Source | Hoi King |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 48% | 52% |
| Att | 59% | 41% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 60.0% | 40.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Metro Gallery Sun Source and +2.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Metro Gallery Sun Source = 6.21 (league 1.93), Hoi King = 2.04 (league 1.96)
| Hoi King | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Metro Gallery Sun Source | 0 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.2% · Draw 4.6% · Away win 3.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1