Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 05:00 •
Po Kong Village Road Park 1
Expected Goals
4.70 (league 1.90)
2.63 (league 1.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.7% | 10.8% | 13.0% |
best score tips
4 - 2
4.6%
5 - 2
4.3%
4 - 3
4.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Hoi King | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sham Shui Po | 0 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sham Shui Po | Hoi King |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 81% | 94% |
| Defense | 31% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
70%
FT probability
BTTS
92%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sham Shui Po | Hoi King | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 33% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
Form: Sham Shui Po: LLWDWL • Hoi King: WWWWDL
League goals
| Metric | Sham Shui Po | Hoi King | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| GF avg | 3.3 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 2.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sham Shui Po | Hoi King | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 83% | 83% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 33% | 50% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 17% | 33% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sham Shui Po | Hoi King | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sham Shui Po | Hoi King |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sham Shui Po | Hoi King |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-1 | 2-3 | 4-2 | 3-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | — | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 8 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sham Shui Po | Hoi King |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 52% | 48% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 50.3% | 49.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Sham Shui Po or draw and +2.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sham Shui Po = 4.70 (league 1.90), Hoi King = 2.63 (league 1.94)
| Hoi King | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sham Shui Po | 0 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.7% · Draw 10.8% · Away win 13.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1