Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 05:30 •
Kowloon Bay Park
Expected Goals
0.27 (league 1.91)
4.16 (league 1.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6% | 2.9% | 72.5% |
best score tips
0 - 4
14.9%
0 - 3
14.4%
0 - 5
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| South China | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Citizen AA | 0 | 1.2% | 5.0% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 12.4% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Citizen AA | South China |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 87% |
| Attack | 50% | 86% |
| Defense | 0% | 93% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
75%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Citizen AA | South China | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Loses | 100% | 67% | 83% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
Form: Citizen AA: LLLLLD • South China: LWWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Citizen AA | South China | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 12 | 8 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 4.0 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Citizen AA | South China | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 83% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 83% | 50% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 83% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 50% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 17% | 17% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Citizen AA | South China | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Citizen AA | South China |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Citizen AA | South China |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 5-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Citizen AA | South China |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 7% | 93% |
| Att | 37% | 63% |
| Def | 6% | 94% |
| Poisson Distribution | 6% | 94% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 34.7% | 65.3% |
Advice: Combo Winner : South China and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Citizen AA = 0.27 (league 1.91), South China = 4.16 (league 1.92)
| South China | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Citizen AA | 0 | 1.2% | 5.0% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 12.4% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.6% · Draw 2.9% · Away win 72.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1