Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 07:30 •
Happy Valley Recreation Ground #1
Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.90)
1.54 (league 1.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.3% | 25.0% | 63.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
20.4%
0 - 2
15.8%
0 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Yuen Long | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Central & Western | 0 | 13.2% | 20.4% | 15.8% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Central & Western | Yuen Long |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 33% |
| Attack | 36% | 29% |
| Defense | 0% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Central & Western | Yuen Long | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 33% |
| Loses | 67% | 67% | 67% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
Form: Central & Western: WLLLLW • Yuen Long: LWLDDL
League goals
| Metric | Central & Western | Yuen Long | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Central & Western | Yuen Long | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 50% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 83% | 17% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Central & Western | Yuen Long | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Central & Western | Yuen Long |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Central & Western | Yuen Long |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 1-2 | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 3-1 | 0-3 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Central & Western | Yuen Long |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 23% | 77% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 42.2% | 58.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Yuen Long
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Central & Western = 0.48 (league 1.90), Yuen Long = 1.54 (league 1.94)
| Yuen Long | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Central & Western | 0 | 13.2% | 20.4% | 15.8% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.3% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 63.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1