Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 05:30 •
Ma On Shan Recreation Ground
Expected Goals
7.34 (league 1.83)
0.35 (league 1.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
best score tips
5 - 0
8.1%
4 - 0
5.5%
3 - 0
3.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Lucky Mile | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| South China | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | South China | Lucky Mile |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 20% |
| Attack | 100% | 43% |
| Defense | 93% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 26 | 5.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
7.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
69%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | South China | Lucky Mile | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 75% | 71% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 14% | 75% | 100% | 86% |
Form: South China: LWWDWWW • Lucky Mile: LLLLWLL
League goals
| Metric | South China | Lucky Mile | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 9 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 20 | 38 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 4.5 | 6.7 | 5.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | South China | Lucky Mile | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 29% | 71% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 14% | 29% | 86% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 0% | 0% | 86% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 57% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 57% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | South China | Lucky Mile | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | South China | Lucky Mile |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | South China | Lucky Mile |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-3 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | — | 1-8 | 9-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 |
Model comparison
| Metric | South China | Lucky Mile |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 81% | 19% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 96% | 4% |
| Poisson Distribution | 96% | 4% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 85.8% | 14.3% |
Advice: Combo Winner : South China and +2.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): South China = 7.34 (league 1.83), Lucky Mile = 0.35 (league 1.99)
| Lucky Mile | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| South China | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.6% · Draw 0.3% · Away win 0.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1