Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 05:30 •
Kowloon Bay Park
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.94)
1.78 (league 1.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.4% | 20.8% | 70.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
20.4%
0 - 2
18.1%
0 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| South China | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hoi King | 0 | 11.4% | 20.4% | 18.1% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hoi King | South China |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 87% |
| Attack | 45% | 82% |
| Defense | 50% | 95% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 18 | 3.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hoi King | South China | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 75% | 50% | 63% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
Form: Hoi King: WWWWDLLW • South China: LWWDWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Hoi King | South China | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 10 | 20 | 12 | 9 | 21 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 2.6 |
| GA total | 6 | 10 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hoi King | South China | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 88% | 25% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 63% | 63% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hoi King | South China | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hoi King | South China |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hoi King | South China |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 3-5 | 6-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-1 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hoi King | South China |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 8% | 92% |
| Poisson Distribution | 15% | 85% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 30.3% | 69.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or South China
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Hoi King = 0.39 (league 1.94), South China = 1.78 (league 1.94)
| South China | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hoi King | 0 | 11.4% | 20.4% | 18.1% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.4% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 70.9%
Vtot 4 , Vtod1