Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 05:30 •
Tin Yip Road Park
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.90)
1.24 (league 1.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.6% | 28.4% | 40.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Lucky Mile | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Yuen Long | 0 | 10.4% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Yuen Long | Lucky Mile |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 20% |
| Attack | 14% | 23% |
| Defense | 59% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 24 | 4.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
7.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
9.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
69%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Yuen Long | Lucky Mile | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 14% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 25% | 57% | 75% | 100% | 88% |
Form: Yuen Long: LWLDDLL • Lucky Mile: LLLLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Yuen Long | Lucky Mile | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 9 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 26 | 44 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 4.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Yuen Long | Lucky Mile | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 43% | 71% | 63% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 57% | 25% | 88% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 43% | 0% | 88% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 63% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 63% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Yuen Long | Lucky Mile | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Yuen Long | Lucky Mile |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Yuen Long | Lucky Mile |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 1-0 | 1-8 | 9-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Yuen Long | Lucky Mile |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 50.0% | 50.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Lucky Mile
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Yuen Long = 1.03 (league 1.90), Lucky Mile = 1.24 (league 1.94)
| Lucky Mile | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Yuen Long | 0 | 10.4% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.6% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 40.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1