Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 07:30 •
Ma On Shan Recreation Ground
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.90)
0.36 (league 1.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.4% | 29.2% | 10.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
24.7%
0 - 0
19.1%
2 - 0
16.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Citizen AA | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Shatin | 0 | 19.1% | 6.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.7% | 8.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.0% | 5.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Shatin | Citizen AA |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 7% |
| Attack | 32% | 23% |
| Defense | 59% | 23% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 17 | 3.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Shatin | Citizen AA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 33% | 50% | 43% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
| Loses | 33% | 50% | 43% | 100% | 75% | 88% |
Form: Shatin: WLWWLLD • Citizen AA: LLLLLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Shatin | Citizen AA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 2 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 3.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Shatin | Citizen AA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 71% | 63% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 43% | 38% | 88% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 14% | 13% | 88% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 14% | 0% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Shatin | Citizen AA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Shatin | Citizen AA |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Shatin | Citizen AA |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 2-5 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 5-0 | 0-4 | 6-2 |
| Goals For | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Shatin | Citizen AA |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 88% | 13% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 65% | 35% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 59.2% | 41.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Shatin or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Shatin = 1.29 (league 1.90), Citizen AA = 0.36 (league 1.94)
| Citizen AA | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Shatin | 0 | 19.1% | 6.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.7% | 8.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.0% | 5.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away win 10.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1