Sun, Dec 28 2025 • 05:30 •
Kwong Fuk Park Football Pitch
Expected Goals
3.52 (league 1.92)
0.76 (league 1.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.7% | 8.4% | 4.3% |
best score tips
3 - 0
10.1%
4 - 0
8.9%
2 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Sham Shui Po | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Metro Gallery Sun Source | 0 | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.1% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.9% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Metro Gallery Sun Source | Sham Shui Po |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 100% |
| Attack | 100% | 47% |
| Defense | 60% | 93% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 23 | 4.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
6.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
61%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Metro Gallery Sun Source | Sham Shui Po | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Wins | 83% | 83% | 83% | 60% | 67% | 64% |
| Draws | 17% | 0% | 8% | 20% | 0% | 9% |
| Loses | 0% | 17% | 8% | 20% | 33% | 27% |
Form: Metro Gallery Sun Source: WWLWWWDWWWWW • Sham Shui Po: LLWDWLWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Metro Gallery Sun Source | Sham Shui Po | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 24 | 51 | 13 | 7 | 20 |
| GF avg | 4.5 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 7 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Metro Gallery Sun Source | Sham Shui Po | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 73% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 92% | 33% | 45% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 83% | 8% | 18% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 58% | 0% | 9% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 33% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Metro Gallery Sun Source | Sham Shui Po | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Metro Gallery Sun Source | Sham Shui Po |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Metro Gallery Sun Source | Sham Shui Po |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 9-0 | 1-6 | 8-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 9 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Metro Gallery Sun Source | Sham Shui Po |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 77% | 23% |
| Def | 14% | 86% |
| Poisson Distribution | 83% | 17% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 56.0% | 44.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Metro Gallery Sun Source and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Metro Gallery Sun Source = 3.52 (league 1.92), Sham Shui Po = 0.76 (league 1.90)
| Sham Shui Po | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Metro Gallery Sun Source | 0 | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.1% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.9% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.7% · Draw 8.4% · Away win 4.3%
vtt 3 , vtd1