Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 08:45 •
Hong Kong Football Club Stadium
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.94)
5.34 (league 1.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5% | 4.1% | 49.0% |
best score tips
1 - 5
6.3%
1 - 4
5.9%
0 - 5
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Shatin | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lucky Mile | 0 | 0.1% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lucky Mile | Shatin |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 47% |
| Attack | 18% | 45% |
| Defense | 18% | 59% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 18 | 3.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
6.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
69%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lucky Mile | Shatin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 11% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Loses | 75% | 100% | 89% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
Form: Lucky Mile: LLLLWLLLL • Shatin: WLWWLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Lucky Mile | Shatin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 18 | 28 | 46 | 2 | 9 | 11 |
| GA avg | 4.5 | 5.6 | 5.1 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lucky Mile | Shatin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 100% | 75% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 89% | 38% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 78% | 38% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 56% | 25% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 56% | 13% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lucky Mile | Shatin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lucky Mile | Shatin |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lucky Mile | Shatin |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 4-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-8 | 9-0 | 0-1 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 8 | 9 | 1 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lucky Mile | Shatin |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 18% | 82% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 35% | 65% |
| Total | 29.0% | 71.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Shatin and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lucky Mile = 1.19 (league 1.94), Shatin = 5.34 (league 1.94)
| Shatin | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lucky Mile | 0 | 0.1% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.5% · Draw 4.1% · Away win 49.0%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1