Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 07:00 •
Po Kong Village Road Park 1
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.94)
1.70 (league 1.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.4% | 23.9% | 54.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
12.2%
1 - 1
11.4%
0 - 2
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| South China | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sham Shui Po | 0 | 7.2% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sham Shui Po | South China |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 87% |
| Attack | 36% | 82% |
| Defense | 77% | 91% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 18 | 3.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sham Shui Po | South China | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 50% | 60% | 56% | 80% | 60% | 70% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| Loses | 25% | 40% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
Form: Sham Shui Po: LLWDWLWWW • South China: LWWDWWWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Sham Shui Po | South China | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 27 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 2.7 |
| GA total | 6 | 9 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sham Shui Po | South China | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 78% | 90% | 30% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 56% | 70% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 22% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 11% | 30% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sham Shui Po | South China | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sham Shui Po | South China |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sham Shui Po | South China |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-1 | 0-2 | 6-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 8 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sham Shui Po | South China |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 48% | 52% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 36.2% | 63.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or South China
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sham Shui Po = 0.93 (league 1.94), South China = 1.70 (league 1.94)
| South China | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sham Shui Po | 0 | 7.2% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.4% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 54.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1