Metro Gallery Sun Source vs Yuen Long

HKFA 1st Division — Hong-Kong

Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 07:30 • Happy Valley Recreation Ground #1

Match Finished

Metro Gallery Sun Source

3 - 2

Yuen Long

Expected Goals

4.19 (league 1.94) 0.31 (league 1.94)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
71.7%	3.1%	0.7%

best score tips

4 - 0

14.3%

3 - 0

13.6%

5 - 0

12.0%

Score & goals probability table

		Yuen Long
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Metro Gallery Sun Source	0	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	4.7%	1.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	9.7%	3.0%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	13.6%	4.2%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	14.3%	4.4%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	12.0%	3.7%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Metro Gallery Sun Source	Yuen Long
Played	5	5
Form	100%	27%
Attack	100%	9%
Defense	68%	64%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	22 \| 4.4	2 \| 0.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	8 \| 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.40

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

85%

FT probability

3.5+

61%

FT probability

BTTS

73%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Metro Gallery Sun Source			Yuen Long
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	4	4	8	4	5	9
Wins	100%	75%	88%	25%	20%	22%
Draws	0%	0%	0%	0%	40%	22%
Loses	0%	25%	13%	75%	40%	56%

Form: Metro Gallery Sun Source: WWLWWWWW • Yuen Long: LWLDDLLWL

League goals

Metric	Metro Gallery Sun Source			Yuen Long
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	23	14	37	3	3	6
GF avg	5.8	3.5	4.6	0.8	0.6	0.7
GA total	4	6	10	9	7	16
GA avg	1.0	1.5	1.3	2.3	1.4	1.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Metro Gallery Sun Source		Yuen Long
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	100%	75%	44%	67%
1.5	100%	38%	22%	56%
2.5	88%	13%	0%	44%
3.5	63%	0%	0%	11%
4.5	38%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Metro Gallery Sun Source			Yuen Long
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	1	2	1	2	3
Failed to score	0	0	0	2	3	5

Penalties

Metric	Metro Gallery Sun Source	Yuen Long
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Metro Gallery Sun Source	Yuen Long
Wins	2	1
Draws	0	2
Losses	1	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	9-0	1-5	2-0	0-1
Biggest losses	—	3-2	0-3	4-0
Goals For	9	5	2	2
Goals Against	2	3	3	4

Model comparison

Metric	Metro Gallery Sun Source	Yuen Long
Form	79%	21%
Att	92%	8%
Def	53%	47%
Poisson Distribution	93%	7%
H2h	0%	0%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	79.3%	20.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Metro Gallery Sun Source and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Metro Gallery Sun Source vs Yuen Long

Expected goals (λ): Metro Gallery Sun Source = 4.19 (league 1.94), Yuen Long = 0.31 (league 1.94)

		Yuen Long
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Metro Gallery Sun Source	0	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	4.7%	1.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	9.7%	3.0%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	13.6%	4.2%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	14.3%	4.4%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	12.0%	3.7%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.7% · Draw 3.1% · Away win 0.7%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1

Metric	Metro Gallery Sun Source	Yuen Long
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0