Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 07:30 •
Ma On Shan Recreation Ground
Expected Goals
2.89 (league 1.94)
1.36 (league 1.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.6% | 15.6% | 15.2% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
3 - 1
7.8%
2 - 0
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Lucky Mile | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Citizen AA | 0 | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Citizen AA | Lucky Mile |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 0% |
| Attack | 16% | 26% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 21 | 4.2 | 23 | 4.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
9.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
10.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
70%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Citizen AA | Lucky Mile | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 80% | 90% | 80% | 100% | 90% |
Form: Citizen AA: LLLLLDLLLL • Lucky Mile: LLLLWLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Citizen AA | Lucky Mile | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 22 | 18 | 40 | 24 | 28 | 52 |
| GA avg | 4.4 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 5.6 | 5.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Citizen AA | Lucky Mile | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 60% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 90% | 30% | 90% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 90% | 10% | 80% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 60% | 0% | 60% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 30% | 0% | 60% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Citizen AA | Lucky Mile | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Citizen AA | Lucky Mile |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Citizen AA | Lucky Mile |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-7 | 6-2 | 1-8 | 9-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 6 | 8 | 9 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Citizen AA | Lucky Mile |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 52% | 48% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 57.8% | 42.4% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Citizen AA or draw and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Citizen AA = 2.89 (league 1.94), Lucky Mile = 1.36 (league 1.94)
| Lucky Mile | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Citizen AA | 0 | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.6% · Draw 15.6% · Away win 15.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1