South China vs Metro Gallery Sun Source

HKFA 1st Division — Hong-Kong

Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 05:30 • Happy Valley Recreation Ground #1

Match Finished

South China

0 - 4

Metro Gallery Sun Source

Expected Goals

2.48 (league 1.94) 0.72 (league 1.94)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
71.8%	15.4%	8.8%

best score tips

2 - 0

12.5%

3 - 0

10.3%

1 - 0

10.1%

Score & goals probability table

		Metro Gallery Sun Source
		0	1	2	3	4	5
South China	0	4.1%	2.9%	1.1%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	10.1%	7.3%	2.6%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	12.5%	9.0%	3.3%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	10.3%	7.5%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	6.4%	4.6%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	3.2%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	South China	Metro Gallery Sun Source
Played	5	5
Form	67%	100%
Attack	79%	100%
Defense	84%	58%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	15 \| 3	20 \| 4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	8 \| 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.90

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.70

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

85%

FT probability

3.5+

62%

FT probability

BTTS

74%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	South China			Metro Gallery Sun Source
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	5	6	11	5	4	9
Wins	80%	50%	64%	100%	75%	89%
Draws	0%	33%	18%	0%	0%	0%
Loses	20%	17%	18%	0%	25%	11%

Form: South China: LWWDWWWWDWL • Metro Gallery Sun Source: WWLWWWWWW

League goals

Metric	South China			Metro Gallery Sun Source
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	16	11	27	26	14	40
GF avg	3.2	1.8	2.5	5.2	3.5	4.4
GA total	2	4	6	6	6	12
GA avg	0.4	0.7	0.5	1.2	1.5	1.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	South China		Metro Gallery Sun Source
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	82%	36%	100%	78%
1.5	64%	18%	100%	44%
2.5	45%	0%	89%	11%
3.5	27%	0%	56%	0%
4.5	18%	0%	33%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	South China			Metro Gallery Sun Source
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	4	3	7	1	1	2
Failed to score	1	1	2	0	0	0

Penalties

Metric	South China	Metro Gallery Sun Source
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	South China	Metro Gallery Sun Source
Wins	4	2
Draws	1	0
Losses	1	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	6-0	0-3	9-0	1-5
Biggest losses	0-2	1-0	—	3-2
Goals For	6	3	9	5
Goals Against	2	2	2	3

Model comparison

Metric	South China	Metro Gallery Sun Source
Form	40%	60%
Att	43%	57%
Def	73%	27%
Poisson Distribution	77%	23%
H2h	0%	0%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	58.3%	41.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : South China or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • South China vs Metro Gallery Sun Source

Expected goals (λ): South China = 2.48 (league 1.94), Metro Gallery Sun Source = 0.72 (league 1.94)

		Metro Gallery Sun Source
		0	1	2	3	4	5
South China	0	4.1%	2.9%	1.1%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	10.1%	7.3%	2.6%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	12.5%	9.0%	3.3%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	10.3%	7.5%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	6.4%	4.6%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	3.2%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.8% · Draw 15.4% · Away win 8.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	South China	Metro Gallery Sun Source
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0