Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 05:30 •
Kowloon Bay Park
Expected Goals
6.44 (league 1.94)
0.58 (league 1.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
best score tips
5 - 0
8.3%
4 - 0
6.4%
5 - 1
4.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Lucky Mile | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hoi King | 0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hoi King | Lucky Mile |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 0% |
| Attack | 53% | 21% |
| Defense | 53% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 23 | 4.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
7.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
70%
FT probability
BTTS
91%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hoi King | Lucky Mile | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Wins | 60% | 50% | 55% | 20% | 0% | 9% |
| Draws | 40% | 0% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 27% | 80% | 100% | 91% |
Form: Hoi King: WWWWDLLWDLW • Lucky Mile: LLLLWLLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Hoi King | Lucky Mile | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 15 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 8 | 14 | 22 | 24 | 31 | 55 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 5.2 | 5.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hoi King | Lucky Mile | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 64% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 73% | 64% | 27% | 91% |
| 2.5 | 36% | 27% | 9% | 82% |
| 3.5 | 27% | 9% | 0% | 55% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 55% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hoi King | Lucky Mile | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hoi King | Lucky Mile |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hoi King | Lucky Mile |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-4 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-1 | 1-8 | 9-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hoi King | Lucky Mile |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 72% | 28% |
| Poisson Distribution | 92% | 8% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 78.3% | 21.7% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Hoi King and +2.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Hoi King = 6.44 (league 1.94), Lucky Mile = 0.58 (league 1.94)
| Lucky Mile | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hoi King | 0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.6% · Draw 0.9% · Away win 0.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1