Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 05:30 •
Ma On Shan Recreation Ground
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.94)
0.37 (league 1.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.2% | 29.0% | 10.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
24.4%
0 - 0
18.8%
2 - 0
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Sham Shui Po | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Shatin | 0 | 18.8% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.4% | 9.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.9% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Shatin | Sham Shui Po |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 80% |
| Attack | 62% | 33% |
| Defense | 71% | 81% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Shatin | Sham Shui Po | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 40% | 50% | 45% | 50% | 60% | 56% |
| Draws | 40% | 17% | 27% | 25% | 0% | 11% |
| Loses | 20% | 33% | 27% | 25% | 40% | 33% |
Form: Shatin: WLWWLLDDWWD • Sham Shui Po: LLWDWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Shatin | Sham Shui Po | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 16 | 23 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 3 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Shatin | Sham Shui Po | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 73% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 36% | 44% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 36% | 18% | 22% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 27% | 9% | 11% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 18% | 9% | 11% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Shatin | Sham Shui Po | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Shatin | Sham Shui Po |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Shatin | Sham Shui Po |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 3-6 | 8-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Shatin | Sham Shui Po |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 54.2% | 45.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Shatin or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Shatin = 1.30 (league 1.94), Sham Shui Po = 0.37 (league 1.94)
| Sham Shui Po | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Shatin | 0 | 18.8% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.4% | 9.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.9% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.2% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 10.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1