Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 05:30 •
Ma On Shan Recreation Ground
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.92)
1.60 (league 1.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.3% | 24.8% | 47.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
0 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Yuen Long | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Citizen AA | 0 | 6.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Citizen AA | Yuen Long |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 60% |
| Attack | 40% | 67% |
| Defense | 0% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 21 | 4.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
76%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Citizen AA | Yuen Long | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 17% | 0% | 8% | 50% | 17% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 17% | 8% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Loses | 83% | 83% | 83% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: Citizen AA: LLLLLDLLLLWL • Yuen Long: LWLDDLLWWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Citizen AA | Yuen Long | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 5 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 23 | 21 | 44 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GA avg | 3.8 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Citizen AA | Yuen Long | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 100% | 58% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 83% | 42% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 83% | 8% | 42% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 50% | 8% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Citizen AA | Yuen Long | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Citizen AA | Yuen Long |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Citizen AA | Yuen Long |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-7 | 6-2 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Citizen AA | Yuen Long |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 49.3% | 50.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Yuen Long and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Citizen AA = 1.15 (league 1.92), Yuen Long = 1.60 (league 1.90)
| Yuen Long | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Citizen AA | 0 | 6.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.3% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 47.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1