Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 09:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.72)
2.25 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.8% | 16.9% | 71.6% |
best score tips
0 - 2
14.3%
0 - 1
12.7%
0 - 3
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Dob | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Svoboda | 0 | 5.6% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Dob carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 69 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Svoboda +19.5, Dob +46.7.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Svoboda
vs
Dob
Elo gapDob +69
Home / draw / away31% / 22% / 47%
Expected home share40%
Combined Elo3081.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3081.6
Elo home share
40%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Svoboda | Dob |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1489 | 1592.6 |
| Form Elo | 1500.6 | 1620.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1480.9 | 1530.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1499.7 | 1583.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1458.5 | 1585.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +19.5 | +46.7 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Svoboda last-5 Elo change: +19.5; Dob last-5 Elo change: +46.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Svoboda | Dob |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 100% |
| Attack | 33% | 93% |
| Defense | 87% | 93% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Svoboda | Dob | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 11 | 20 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 11% | 36% | 25% | 91% | 40% | 67% |
| Draws | 33% | 9% | 20% | 0% | 30% | 14% |
| Loses | 56% | 55% | 55% | 9% | 30% | 19% |
SvobodaLWLDLLDLLLLWWLLWLDDW
DobLWLWDWWDWWWLWLDWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Svoboda | Dob | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 16 | 24 | 28 | 17 | 45 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 16 | 19 | 35 | 8 | 12 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Svoboda | Dob | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 75% | 95% | 52% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 65% | 52% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 15% | 33% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 5% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Svoboda | Dob | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Svoboda | Dob |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Svoboda | Dob |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 7-2 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-7 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Svoboda | Dob |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 26% | 74% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 21% | 79% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 29.6% | 70.4% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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