Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.72)
1.87 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.9% | 21.1% | 65.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.2%
0 - 2
14.2%
1 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Šencur | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vipava | 0 | 8.1% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Šencur carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 71 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Vipava +9.2, Šencur +38.7.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Vipava
vs
Šencur
Elo gapŠencur +71
Home / draw / away31% / 22% / 47%
Expected home share40%
Combined Elo2974.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2974.3
Elo home share
40%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Vipava | Šencur |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1434.1 | 1540.2 |
| Form Elo | 1423.4 | 1561.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1473.8 | 1511.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1454.9 | 1547.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1435.7 | 1526.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +9.2 | +38.7 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Vipava last-5 Elo change: +9.2; Šencur last-5 Elo change: +38.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vipava | Šencur |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 73% |
| Attack | 60% | 73% |
| Defense | 47% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vipava | Šencur | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 30% | 18% | 24% | 73% | 50% | 62% |
| Draws | 30% | 18% | 24% | 18% | 30% | 24% |
| Loses | 40% | 64% | 52% | 9% | 20% | 14% |
VipavaLLLWWLDLWLLLLDLDDWLDW
ŠencurWDWWDWWWWLLWWLDWWDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Vipava | Šencur | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 13 | 24 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 15 | 23 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vipava | Šencur | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 90% | 81% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 57% | 67% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 33% | 29% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vipava | Šencur | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vipava | Šencur |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vipava | Šencur |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 2-3 | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vipava | Šencur |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 24% | 76% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 46% | 54% |
| Total | 36.5% | 63.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…