Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 15:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.34 (league 1.62)
0.56 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 74.2% | 15.5% | 7.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
15.1%
1 - 0
12.9%
3 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Dobrovce | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Šmartno | 0 | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.1% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.7% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Šmartno carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 133 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Šmartno +24.4, Dobrovce -18.5.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Šmartno
vs
Dobrovce
Elo gapŠmartno +133
Home / draw / away56% / 18% / 26%
Expected home share68%
Combined Elo2882.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2882.4
Elo home share
68%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Šmartno | Dobrovce |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1490.4 | 1392 |
| Form Elo | 1494 | 1364.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1484 | 1473.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1499.6 | 1425.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1478.4 | 1335.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +24.4 | -18.5 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Šmartno last-5 Elo change: +24.4; Dobrovce last-5 Elo change: -18.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Šmartno | Dobrovce |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 50% | 30% |
| Defense | 70% | 35% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Šmartno | Dobrovce | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 44% | 30% | 37% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Draws | 33% | 30% | 32% | 0% | 30% | 15% |
| Loses | 22% | 40% | 32% | 80% | 70% | 75% |
ŠmartnoWLWDDWWLLLDDLDLDWWW
DobrovceLLLDWLLLLLLDLLLDWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Šmartno | Dobrovce | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 16 | 29 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 10 | 19 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 56 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Šmartno | Dobrovce | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 74% | 60% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 53% | 20% | 70% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 16% | 5% | 45% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 30% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 25% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Šmartno | Dobrovce | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Šmartno | Dobrovce |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Šmartno | Dobrovce |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-3 | 3-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-1 | 1-6 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Šmartno | Dobrovce |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 68% | 32% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 70.5% | 29.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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