Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 14:00 •
Lobatse Stadium
Expected Goals
0.16 (league 1.27)
0.49 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 9.3% | 56.6% | 34.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
52.5%
0 - 1
25.5%
1 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Matebele | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Police XI | 0 | 52.5% | 25.5% | 6.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Police XI | Matebele |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 43% | 57% |
| Defense | 71% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
47%
FT probability
2.5+
33%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
46%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Police XI | Matebele | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 9 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 9% | 33% | 20% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Draws | 55% | 22% | 40% | 30% | 10% | 20% |
| Loses | 36% | 44% | 40% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: Police XI: DLDLLWLLWLLDDWDDLDDW • Matebele: LLWLLLDDLWLLWLWWWDDL
League goals
| Metric | Police XI | Matebele | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 8 | 22 |
| GF avg | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 8 | 10 | 18 | 17 | 10 | 27 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Police XI | Matebele | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 30% | 45% | 65% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 15% | 25% | 25% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 15% | 5% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Police XI | Matebele | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 10 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Police XI | Matebele |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Police XI | Matebele |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 6-2 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Police XI | Matebele |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 22% | 78% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 50.3% | 49.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Police XI or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Police XI = 0.16 (league 1.27), Matebele = 0.49 (league 1.15)
| Matebele | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Police XI | 0 | 52.5% | 25.5% | 6.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.3% · Draw 56.6% · Away win 34.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1