Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 14:00 •
Itekeng Stadium
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.27)
0.63 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.8% | 37.8% | 26.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
24.2%
1 - 0
19.1%
0 - 1
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Matebele | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Orapa United | 0 | 24.2% | 15.3% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.1% | 12.0% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Orapa United | Matebele |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 57% |
| Defense | 0% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Orapa United | Matebele | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 10 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 25% | 40% | 33% | 22% | 44% | 33% |
| Draws | 38% | 40% | 39% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 38% | 20% | 28% | 44% | 56% | 50% |
Form: Orapa United: DLLDWDWDWDLDWWLLDW • Matebele: LLWLLLDDLWLLWLWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Orapa United | Matebele | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 12 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 7 | 10 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Orapa United | Matebele | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 56% | 67% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 22% | 28% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 17% | 6% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Orapa United | Matebele | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Orapa United | Matebele |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Orapa United | Matebele |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 6-2 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Orapa United | Matebele |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 54.3% | 45.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Orapa United or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Orapa United = 0.79 (league 1.27), Matebele = 0.63 (league 1.14)
| Matebele | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Orapa United | 0 | 24.2% | 15.3% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.1% | 12.0% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.8% · Draw 37.8% · Away win 26.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1