Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 14:00 •
Royal Aria Stadium
Expected Goals
0.44 (league 1.27)
1.10 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.7% | 33.1% | 52.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
23.6%
0 - 0
21.4%
0 - 2
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Morupule Wanderers | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Black Lions | 0 | 21.4% | 23.6% | 13.0% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Black Lions | Morupule Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 43% | 57% |
| Defense | 14% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Black Lions | Morupule Wanderers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 22% | 22% | 22% | 33% | 44% | 39% |
| Draws | 22% | 33% | 28% | 22% | 22% | 22% |
| Loses | 56% | 44% | 50% | 44% | 33% | 39% |
Form: Black Lions: LLLWLDWDWLLDDLWLLD • Morupule Wanderers: LLLWWDDWLWWLLWDWLD
League goals
| Metric | Black Lions | Morupule Wanderers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 24 |
| GF avg | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 8 | 12 | 20 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Black Lions | Morupule Wanderers | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 44% | 61% | 67% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 6% | 33% | 39% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 11% | 22% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Black Lions | Morupule Wanderers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Black Lions | Morupule Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Black Lions | Morupule Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 6-2 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Black Lions | Morupule Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 31.2% | 68.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Morupule Wanderers and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Black Lions = 0.44 (league 1.27), Morupule Wanderers = 1.10 (league 1.14)
| Morupule Wanderers | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Black Lions | 0 | 21.4% | 23.6% | 13.0% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.7% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 52.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1