Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 17:00 •
Lobatse Stadium
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.27)
0.49 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.8% | 47.6% | 26.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
38.3%
0 - 1
18.6%
1 - 0
18.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Santa Green | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Police XI | 0 | 38.3% | 18.6% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.1% | 8.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Police XI | Santa Green |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 50% | 25% |
| Defense | 75% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
50%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Police XI | Santa Green | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 10 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| Wins | 8% | 40% | 23% | 17% | 30% | 23% |
| Draws | 58% | 20% | 41% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Loses | 33% | 40% | 36% | 58% | 70% | 64% |
Form: Police XI: DLDLLWLLWLLDDWDDLDDWDW • Santa Green: DWLLWLLWLLLLLLWDLLWDLL
League goals
| Metric | Police XI | Santa Green | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 18 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 9 | 11 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 41 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Police XI | Santa Green | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 36% | 50% | 64% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 23% | 14% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 14% | 5% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Police XI | Santa Green | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 10 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Police XI | Santa Green |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Police XI | Santa Green |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-0 | 1-6 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Police XI | Santa Green |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 63.8% | 36.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Police XI or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Police XI = 0.47 (league 1.27), Santa Green = 0.49 (league 1.15)
| Santa Green | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Police XI | 0 | 38.3% | 18.6% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.1% | 8.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.8% · Draw 47.6% · Away win 26.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1