Mon, Oct 20 2025 • 01:30 • Venue TBA
Not Started
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Expected Goals
2.14 (league 2.62) 1.16 (league 0.69)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.7% 20.3% 19.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 1
9.2%
2 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Progresso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Napoles 0 3.7% 4.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.9% 9.2% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.5% 9.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.1% 7.0% 4.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.2% 3.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNapolesProgresso
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack52%43%
Defense67%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Napoles Progresso
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins100%0%44%75%20%44%
Draws0%20%11%0%40%22%
Loses0%80%44%25%40%33%

Form: Napoles: WDWLWLLLW • Progresso: DDWWLLLWW

League goals

Metric Napoles Progresso
HATHAT
GF total1411511819
GF avg3.50.21.72.81.62.1
GA total210124812
GA avg0.52.01.31.01.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNapolesProgresso
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%78%89%56%
1.533%33%56%44%
2.522%22%33%22%
3.522%0%22%11%
4.511%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNapolesProgresso
HATHAT
Clean sheets202224
Failed to score044011

Penalties

MetricNapolesProgresso
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNapolesProgresso
Wins12
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-0—5-10-4
Biggest losses—3-02-34-1
Goals For7154
Goals Against1334

Model comparison

MetricNapolesProgresso
Form50%50%
Att55%45%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total59.5%40.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Progresso

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Napoles = 2.14 (league 2.62), Progresso = 1.16 (league 0.69)

Progresso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Napoles 0 3.7% 4.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.9% 9.2% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.5% 9.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.1% 7.0% 4.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.2% 3.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.7% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 19.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1