Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 22:30 • Orange Walk People's Stadium
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.73 (league 2.62) 1.88 (league 0.69)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.8% 21.5% 63.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.9%
0 - 2
13.0%
1 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Verdes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Progresso 0 7.4% 13.9% 13.0% 8.2% 3.8% 1.4%
1 5.4% 10.1% 9.5% 5.9% 2.8% 1.0%
2 2.0% 3.7% 3.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricProgressoVerdes
Played55
Form80%87%
Attack66%38%
Defense83%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)19 | 3.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Progresso Verdes
HATHAT
Played56116410
Wins80%33%55%83%50%70%
Draws0%33%18%17%50%30%
Loses20%33%27%0%0%0%

Form: Progresso: DDWWLLLWWWW • Verdes: WDDWWWWWWD

League goals

Metric Progresso Verdes
HATHAT
GF total19123119524
GF avg3.82.02.83.21.32.4
GA total5914224
GA avg1.01.51.30.30.50.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineProgressoVerdes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%64%90%40%
1.564%36%50%0%
2.545%18%50%0%
3.536%9%20%0%
4.518%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricProgressoVerdes
HATHAT
Clean sheets224426
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricProgressoVerdes
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricProgressoVerdes
Wins26
Draws22
Losses30

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-10-47-01-3
Biggest losses2-34-1——
Goals For8473
Goals Against3411

Model comparison

MetricProgressoVerdes
Form48%52%
Att63%37%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h7%93%
Goals13%87%
Total33.3%66.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Verdes

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Progresso = 0.73 (league 2.62), Verdes = 1.88 (league 0.69)

Verdes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Progresso 0 7.4% 13.9% 13.0% 8.2% 3.8% 1.4%
1 5.4% 10.1% 9.5% 5.9% 2.8% 1.0%
2 2.0% 3.7% 3.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.8% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 63.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1