Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:30 •
SRC Josip Uravić Pepi
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.72)
0.52 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.6% | 37.5% | 20.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
24.8%
1 - 0
21.6%
0 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Novalja | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Krk | 0 | 24.8% | 13.0% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.6% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Krk | Novalja |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 33% | 25% |
| Attack | 15% | 31% |
| Defense | 77% | 23% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.5 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 10 | 2.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
48%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Krk | Novalja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 25% | 33% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 100% | 75% |
Form: Krk: LLDW • Novalja: LLWL
League goals
| Metric | Krk | Novalja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Krk | Novalja | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 25% | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 0% | 25% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Krk | Novalja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Krk | Novalja |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Krk | Novalja |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Krk | Novalja |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 77% | 23% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 44.0% | 56.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Novalja
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Krk = 0.87 (league 1.72), Novalja = 0.52 (league 0.96)
| Novalja | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Krk | 0 | 24.8% | 13.0% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.6% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.6% · Draw 37.5% · Away win 20.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1