Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 •
Igralište Cissa-Straško
Expected Goals
2.22 (league 1.76)
2.39 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.9% | 19.1% | 40.1% |
best score tips
2 - 2
7.0%
1 - 2
6.3%
2 - 1
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Nehaj | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Novalja | 0 | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Novalja | Nehaj |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 25% | 50% |
| Attack | 31% | 54% |
| Defense | 23% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 7 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2.5 | 6 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Novalja | Nehaj | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 25% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 67% | 100% | 75% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
Form: Novalja: LLWL • Nehaj: WLWL
League goals
| Metric | Novalja | Nehaj | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 7 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Novalja | Nehaj | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 75% | 25% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 50% | 25% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Novalja | Nehaj | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Novalja | Nehaj |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Novalja | Nehaj |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | 4-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-0 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Novalja | Nehaj |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 33.8% | 66.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nehaj and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Novalja = 2.22 (league 1.76), Nehaj = 2.39 (league 0.96)
| Nehaj | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Novalja | 0 | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.9% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 40.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1