Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:30 • Stadion Stanovi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.81) 3.60 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.6% 7.6% 73.2%
best score tips
0 - 3
10.6%
0 - 4
9.6%
0 - 2
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
GOŠK Kaštel Gomilica
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Zadar 0 1.4% 4.9% 8.9% 10.6% 9.6% 6.9%
1 0.9% 3.4% 6.1% 7.4% 6.6% 4.8%
2 0.3% 1.2% 2.1% 2.5% 2.3% 1.6%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHNK ZadarGOŠK Kaštel Gomilica
Played45
Form50%60%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.54 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric HNK Zadar GOŠK Kaštel Gomilica
HATHAT
Played224325
Wins50%50%50%33%50%40%
Draws0%0%0%67%50%60%
Loses50%50%50%0%0%0%

Form: HNK Zadar: WLWL • GOŠK Kaštel Gomilica: DDWWD

League goals

Metric HNK Zadar GOŠK Kaštel Gomilica
HATHAT
GF total538549
GF avg2.51.52.01.72.01.8
GA total426314
GA avg2.01.01.51.00.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHNK ZadarGOŠK Kaštel Gomilica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%100%60%
1.575%50%60%20%
2.550%25%20%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHNK ZadarGOŠK Kaštel Gomilica
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricHNK ZadarGOŠK Kaštel Gomilica
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHNK ZadarGOŠK Kaštel Gomilica
Wins12
Draws02
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-32-00-3
Biggest losses2-32-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against3221

Model comparison

MetricHNK ZadarGOŠK Kaštel Gomilica
Form40%60%
Att47%53%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution14%86%
H2h93%7%
Goals91%9%
Total54.2%45.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or GOŠK Kaštel Gomilica

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): HNK Zadar = 0.69 (league 1.81), GOŠK Kaštel Gomilica = 3.60 (league 1.11)

GOŠK Kaštel Gomilica
0 1 2 3 4 5
HNK Zadar 0 1.4% 4.9% 8.9% 10.6% 9.6% 6.9%
1 0.9% 3.4% 6.1% 7.4% 6.6% 4.8%
2 0.3% 1.2% 2.1% 2.5% 2.3% 1.6%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.6% · Draw 7.6% · Away win 73.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1