Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 14:00 •
Igralište Vukovar
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.77)
2.40 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.6% | 17.0% | 67.8% |
best score tips
0 - 2
11.1%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| HNK Zadar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Val Kaštel Stari | 0 | 3.9% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Val Kaštel Stari | HNK Zadar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 73% |
| Attack | 38% | 69% |
| Defense | 63% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Val Kaštel Stari | HNK Zadar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 75% | 11% | 41% | 44% | 63% | 53% |
| Draws | 13% | 11% | 12% | 22% | 25% | 24% |
| Loses | 13% | 78% | 47% | 33% | 13% | 24% |
Form: Val Kaštel Stari: LWLWWLWLLLWLWLWDD • HNK Zadar: WLWWLWWWLDLDDWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Val Kaštel Stari | HNK Zadar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 10 | 25 | 17 | 21 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 8 | 22 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Val Kaštel Stari | HNK Zadar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 94% | 82% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 47% | 65% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 35% | 47% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 18% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Val Kaštel Stari | HNK Zadar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Val Kaštel Stari | HNK Zadar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Val Kaštel Stari | HNK Zadar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-3 | 3-0 | 1-6 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Val Kaštel Stari | HNK Zadar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 26% | 74% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 35.6% | 64.4% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or HNK Zadar
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Val Kaštel Stari = 0.86 (league 1.77), HNK Zadar = 2.40 (league 1.09)
| HNK Zadar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Val Kaštel Stari | 0 | 3.9% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.6% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 67.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1