Kamen Ivanbegovina vs Jadran KS

Third NL - Jug — Croatia

Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 15:00 • Igralište NK Kamen

Not Started

Kamen Ivanbegovina

—

Jadran KS

Expected Goals

1.45 (league 1.83) 1.33 (league 1.02)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
39.6%	25.4%	34.4%

best score tips

1 - 1

12.0%

1 - 0

9.0%

2 - 1

8.7%

Score & goals probability table

		Jadran KS
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Kamen Ivanbegovina	0	6.2%	8.3%	5.5%	2.4%	0.8%	0.2%
	1	9.0%	12.0%	8.0%	3.5%	1.2%	0.3%
	2	6.5%	8.7%	5.8%	2.5%	0.8%	0.2%
	3	3.1%	4.2%	2.8%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%
	4	1.1%	1.5%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Kamen Ivanbegovina +29.8, Jadran KS -35.6.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Kamen Ivanbegovina Elo 1431.1 · +29.8

Jadran KS Elo 1462.6 · -35.6

Elo gapKamen Ivanbegovina +4

Home / draw / away36% / 30% / 34%

Expected home share51%

Combined Elo2893.7

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2893.7

Elo home share 51%

Match tone Good Watch

Metric	Kamen Ivanbegovina	Jadran KS
Overall Elo	1431.1	1462.6
Form Elo	1445.6	1437.4
Home / Away Elo	1499.7	1466
Attack Elo	1476	1456.3
Defense Elo	1274.2	1427.4
Last 5 Elo change	+29.8	-35.6

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Kamen Ivanbegovina last-5 Elo change: +29.8; Jadran KS last-5 Elo change: -35.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Kamen Ivanbegovina	Jadran KS
Played	5	5
Form	67%	27%
Attack	58%	33%
Defense	33%	0%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	4 \| 0.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	8 \| 1.6	12 \| 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%

FT probability

2.5+

63%

FT probability

3.5+

45%

FT probability

BTTS

66%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Kamen Ivanbegovina			Jadran KS
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	11	12	23	12	12	24
Wins	45%	0%	22%	58%	8%	33%
Draws	18%	17%	17%	25%	17%	21%
Loses	36%	83%	61%	17%	75%	46%

Kamen IvanbegovinaLLDLLLDLLLLLDLLWWLWWLWD

Jadran KSLWDWDWLLWWLWLLDWLDLWLLLD

League goals

Metric	Kamen Ivanbegovina			Jadran KS
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	12	11	23	22	9	31
GF avg	1.1	0.9	1.0	1.8	0.8	1.3
GA total	19	38	57	14	29	43
GA avg	1.7	3.2	2.5	1.2	2.4	1.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Kamen Ivanbegovina		Jadran KS
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	65%	78%	63%	79%
1.5	22%	57%	38%	50%
2.5	4%	48%	21%	29%
3.5	4%	35%	8%	17%
4.5	4%	17%	0%	4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Kamen Ivanbegovina			Jadran KS
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	4	1	5	3	2	5
Failed to score	4	4	8	2	7	9

Penalties

Metric	Kamen Ivanbegovina	Jadran KS
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Kamen Ivanbegovina	Jadran KS
Wins	2	2
Draws	1	1
Losses	5	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	5-1	—	4-1	0-2
Biggest losses	1-6	6-0	0-4	5-0
Goals For	5	2	4	3
Goals Against	6	6	4	5

Model comparison

Metric	Kamen Ivanbegovina	Jadran KS
Form	71%	29%
Att	64%	36%
Def	60%	40%
Poisson Distribution	55%	45%
H2h	0%	100%
Goals	33%	67%
Total	56.6%	43.4%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Kamen Ivanbegovina vs Jadran KS

Metric	Kamen Ivanbegovina	Jadran KS
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0