Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 13:30 • Stadion Valpovka
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 2.11) 2.42 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.0% 15.8% 71.4%
best score tips
0 - 2
12.8%
0 - 1
10.6%
0 - 3
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Marsonia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valpovka 0 4.4% 10.6% 12.8% 10.3% 6.2% 3.0%
1 3.1% 7.5% 9.1% 7.3% 4.4% 2.1%
2 1.1% 2.7% 3.2% 2.6% 1.6% 0.8%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricValpovkaMarsonia
Played55
Form40%87%
Attack26%63%
Defense63%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Valpovka Marsonia
HATHAT
Played426426
Wins50%0%33%50%100%67%
Draws25%0%17%50%0%33%
Loses25%100%50%0%0%0%

Form: Valpovka: DLWLLW • Marsonia: DWWWWD

League goals

Metric Valpovka Marsonia
HATHAT
GF total6067613
GF avg1.50.01.01.83.02.2
GA total358325
GA avg0.82.51.30.81.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineValpovkaMarsonia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%83%100%67%
1.533%17%67%17%
2.517%17%33%0%
3.50%17%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricValpovkaMarsonia
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score123000

Penalties

MetricValpovkaMarsonia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricValpovkaMarsonia
Wins14
Draws11
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-13-02-4
Biggest losses0-14-0
Goals For3034
Goals Against1412

Model comparison

MetricValpovkaMarsonia
Form32%68%
Att29%71%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total36.8%63.2%

Advice: Winner : Marsonia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Valpovka = 0.71 (league 2.11), Marsonia = 2.42 (league 0.99)

Marsonia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valpovka 0 4.4% 10.6% 12.8% 10.3% 6.2% 3.0%
1 3.1% 7.5% 9.1% 7.3% 4.4% 2.1%
2 1.1% 2.7% 3.2% 2.6% 1.6% 0.8%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.0% · Draw 15.8% · Away win 71.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1