Tue, Oct 7 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Polideportivo Sur
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.44) 0.68 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.4% 25.7% 16.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.8%
2 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Pereira
0 1 2 3 4 5
Envigado 0 11.0% 7.4% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.8% 11.4% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.9% 8.7% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.6% 4.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEnvigadoDeportivo Pereira
Played55
Form73%67%
Attack62%92%
Defense69%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Envigado Deportivo Pereira
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins100%33%67%67%33%50%
Draws0%67%33%33%33%33%
Loses0%0%0%0%33%17%

Form: Envigado: WWDWWD • Deportivo Pereira: DDWWWL

League goals

Metric Envigado Deportivo Pereira
HATHAT
GF total5496612
GF avg1.71.31.52.02.02.0
GA total134347
GA avg0.31.00.71.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEnvigadoDeportivo Pereira
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%33%83%50%
1.550%17%67%50%
2.517%17%33%17%
3.50%0%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEnvigadoDeportivo Pereira
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricEnvigadoDeportivo Pereira
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricEnvigadoDeportivo Pereira
Wins23
Draws12
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-00-3
Biggest losses2-1
Goals For2343
Goals Against1332

Model comparison

MetricEnvigadoDeportivo Pereira
Form52%48%
Att40%60%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h15%85%
Goals31%69%
Total44.8%55.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Deportivo Pereira

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ Superbet
Draw3.05 @ Unibet
Away2.70 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.57 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.55 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Envigado = 1.53 (league 1.44), Deportivo Pereira = 0.68 (league 0.89)

Deportivo Pereira
0 1 2 3 4 5
Envigado 0 11.0% 7.4% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.8% 11.4% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.9% 8.7% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.6% 4.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.4% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 16.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1