Wed, Oct 8 2025 • 18:45 •
Bradley Community Stadium
Expected Goals
5.47 (league 1.32)
1.49 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
best score tips
5 - 1
5.8%
4 - 1
5.3%
5 - 2
4.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Pontefract Collieries | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Grimsby Borough | 0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Grimsby Borough | Pontefract Collieries |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Attack | 50% | 39% |
| Defense | 72% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 18 | 3.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
76%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
86%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Grimsby Borough | Pontefract Collieries | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 75% | 0% | 38% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
Form: Grimsby Borough: WDDWDDWW • Pontefract Collieries: WDWDLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Grimsby Borough | Pontefract Collieries | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Grimsby Borough | Pontefract Collieries | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 63% | 88% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 63% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 0% | 13% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Grimsby Borough | Pontefract Collieries | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Grimsby Borough | Pontefract Collieries |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Grimsby Borough | Pontefract Collieries |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-2 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-3 | 7-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Grimsby Borough | Pontefract Collieries |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 78% | 22% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 39% | 61% |
| Total | 59.8% | 40.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Grimsby Borough or draw and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Grimsby Borough = 5.47 (league 1.32), Pontefract Collieries = 1.49 (league 1.31)
| Pontefract Collieries | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Grimsby Borough | 0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.0% · Draw 4.8% · Away win 3.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1