Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 •
The Welfare Ground
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 1.32)
0.23 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 81.5% | 13.0% | 2.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
21.1%
1 - 0
18.6%
3 - 0
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Ashington AFC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Emley | 0 | 8.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.6% | 4.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.1% | 4.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.1% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AFC Emley | Ashington AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 22% | 33% |
| Defense | 89% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AFC Emley | Ashington AFC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 20% | 22% |
| Draws | 25% | 50% | 38% | 50% | 20% | 33% |
| Loses | 25% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 60% | 44% |
Form: AFC Emley: WDWDDWWL • Ashington AFC: LDLDDLLWW
League goals
| Metric | AFC Emley | Ashington AFC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AFC Emley | Ashington AFC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 38% | 56% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 0% | 33% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AFC Emley | Ashington AFC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | AFC Emley | Ashington AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | AFC Emley | Ashington AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 2-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AFC Emley | Ashington AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 82% | 18% |
| Poisson Distribution | 88% | 12% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 58.8% | 41.2% |
Advice: Double chance : AFC Emley or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): AFC Emley = 2.28 (league 1.32), Ashington AFC = 0.23 (league 1.31)
| Ashington AFC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Emley | 0 | 8.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.6% | 4.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.1% | 4.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.1% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.5% · Draw 13.0% · Away win 2.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1