Tue, Oct 14 2025 • 18:45 •
The Welfare Ground
Expected Goals
2.74 (league 1.32)
1.34 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.8% | 16.6% | 16.4% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.5%
3 - 1
7.8%
2 - 0
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Matlock Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Emley | 0 | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AFC Emley | Matlock Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 80% |
| Attack | 47% | 100% |
| Defense | 73% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AFC Emley | Matlock Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Draws | 33% | 50% | 42% | 40% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 17% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
Form: AFC Emley: WDWDDWWLDDWW • Matlock Town: DLDWWWWWWL
League goals
| Metric | AFC Emley | Matlock Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 5 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| GA total | 5 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AFC Emley | Matlock Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 33% | 90% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 8% | 70% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 8% | 40% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AFC Emley | Matlock Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | AFC Emley | Matlock Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | AFC Emley | Matlock Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 7-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | — | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AFC Emley | Matlock Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 32% | 68% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 48.0% | 52.0% |
Advice: Double chance : AFC Emley or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): AFC Emley = 2.74 (league 1.32), Matlock Town = 1.34 (league 1.31)
| Matlock Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Emley | 0 | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.8% · Draw 16.6% · Away win 16.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1