Wed, Oct 15 2025 • 18:45 •
Grounsell Park
Expected Goals
2.52 (league 1.31)
2.17 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.6% | 18.7% | 32.1% |
best score tips
2 - 2
6.9%
2 - 1
6.3%
3 - 2
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Newton Aycliffe | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heaton Stannington | 0 | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Heaton Stannington | Newton Aycliffe |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 7% |
| Attack | 86% | 36% |
| Defense | 50% | 21% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Heaton Stannington | Newton Aycliffe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 17% | 20% | 18% |
| Draws | 25% | 50% | 40% | 17% | 20% | 18% |
| Loses | 25% | 17% | 20% | 67% | 60% | 64% |
Form: Heaton Stannington: WLDDLWDDWW • Newton Aycliffe: LWLLWDLLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Heaton Stannington | Newton Aycliffe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 10 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 7 | 10 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Heaton Stannington | Newton Aycliffe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 60% | 55% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 36% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 40% | 9% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 10% | 0% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Heaton Stannington | Newton Aycliffe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Heaton Stannington | Newton Aycliffe |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Heaton Stannington | Newton Aycliffe |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Heaton Stannington | Newton Aycliffe |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 92% | 8% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 61% | 39% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 66.0% | 34.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Heaton Stannington or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Heaton Stannington = 2.52 (league 1.31), Newton Aycliffe = 2.17 (league 1.33)
| Newton Aycliffe | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heaton Stannington | 0 | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.6% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 32.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1