Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 •
The dwmedia Stadium
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.30)
1.06 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.5% | 33.6% | 47.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
21.5%
0 - 0
20.4%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| North Ferriby | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ashington AFC | 0 | 20.4% | 21.5% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.9% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ashington AFC | North Ferriby |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 73% |
| Attack | 75% | 88% |
| Defense | 13% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ashington AFC | North Ferriby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 40% | 14% | 25% | 43% | 50% | 46% |
| Draws | 40% | 14% | 25% | 57% | 17% | 38% |
| Loses | 20% | 71% | 50% | 0% | 33% | 15% |
Form: Ashington AFC: LDLDDLLWWWLL • North Ferriby: LDWDLDWWWDWWD
League goals
| Metric | Ashington AFC | North Ferriby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 6 | 14 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ashington AFC | North Ferriby | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 92% | 62% | 46% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 42% | 54% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 23% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ashington AFC | North Ferriby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ashington AFC | North Ferriby |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ashington AFC | North Ferriby |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 4-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ashington AFC | North Ferriby |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 28% | 72% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 43.8% | 56.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or North Ferriby
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ashington AFC = 0.54 (league 1.30), North Ferriby = 1.06 (league 1.36)
| North Ferriby | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ashington AFC | 0 | 20.4% | 21.5% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.9% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.5% · Draw 33.6% · Away win 47.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1