Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 15:00 • The Dransfield Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.30) 1.06 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.9% 21.6% 19.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Newton Aycliffe
0 1 2 3 4 5
North Ferriby 0 4.8% 5.1% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.5% 10.1% 5.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.1% 6.5% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.0% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNorth FerribyNewton Aycliffe
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack39%39%
Defense72%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric North Ferriby Newton Aycliffe
HATHAT
Played78157714
Wins43%38%40%14%29%21%
Draws57%38%47%14%29%21%
Loses0%25%13%71%43%57%

Form: North Ferriby: LDWDLDWWWDWWDDD • Newton Aycliffe: LWLLWDLLDLLDLW

League goals

Metric North Ferriby Newton Aycliffe
HATHAT
GF total1192041115
GF avg1.61.11.30.61.61.1
GA total6511121123
GA avg0.90.60.71.71.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNorth FerribyNewton Aycliffe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%53%57%79%
1.547%20%36%57%
2.520%0%14%21%
3.50%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNorth FerribyNewton Aycliffe
HATHAT
Clean sheets347123
Failed to score235426

Penalties

MetricNorth FerribyNewton Aycliffe
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNorth FerribyNewton Aycliffe
Wins31
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-32-10-3
Biggest losses—2-01-42-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricNorth FerribyNewton Aycliffe
Form69%31%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h36%64%
Goals55%45%
Total56.3%43.7%

Advice: Double chance : North Ferriby or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): North Ferriby = 1.97 (league 1.30), Newton Aycliffe = 1.06 (league 1.36)

Newton Aycliffe
0 1 2 3 4 5
North Ferriby 0 4.8% 5.1% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.5% 10.1% 5.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.1% 6.5% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.0% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.9% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 19.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1