Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 • Ingfield Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.30) 2.00 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.3% 21.5% 55.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.9%
1 - 1
9.9%
0 - 2
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Matlock Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ossett United 0 4.3% 8.6% 8.6% 5.7% 2.9% 1.1%
1 4.9% 9.9% 9.9% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3%
2 2.8% 5.7% 5.7% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8%
3 1.1% 2.2% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOssett UnitedMatlock Town
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack33%93%
Defense27%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 114 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ossett United Matlock Town
HATHAT
Played1091981018
Wins30%22%26%63%60%61%
Draws30%33%32%25%10%17%
Loses40%44%42%13%30%22%

Form: Ossett United: LDWLLDDLDWWDLDWWLLL • Matlock Town: DLDWWWWWWLWWLWDLWW

League goals

Metric Ossett United Matlock Town
HATHAT
GF total10717232144
GF avg1.00.80.92.92.12.4
GA total13132691524
GA avg1.31.41.41.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOssett UnitedMatlock Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%68%94%72%
1.526%32%67%44%
2.55%16%39%17%
3.50%11%17%0%
4.50%5%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOssett UnitedMatlock Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets426415
Failed to score448101

Penalties

MetricOssett UnitedMatlock Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricOssett UnitedMatlock Town
Wins26
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-27-12-4
Biggest losses0-64-12-33-2
Goals For3274
Goals Against6433

Model comparison

MetricOssett UnitedMatlock Town
Form38%63%
Att26%74%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total33.0%67.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Matlock Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ossett United = 1.15 (league 1.30), Matlock Town = 2.00 (league 1.36)

Matlock Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ossett United 0 4.3% 8.6% 8.6% 5.7% 2.9% 1.1%
1 4.9% 9.9% 9.9% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3%
2 2.8% 5.7% 5.7% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8%
3 1.1% 2.2% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.3% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 55.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1