Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 •
Ingfield Stadium
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.33)
2.22 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.1% | 19.6% | 59.5% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.8%
1 - 1
8.8%
0 - 2
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Matlock Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ossett United | 0 | 3.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ossett United | Matlock Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 33% | 93% |
| Defense | 27% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ossett United | Matlock Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| Wins | 30% | 22% | 26% | 63% | 60% | 61% |
| Draws | 30% | 33% | 32% | 25% | 10% | 17% |
| Loses | 40% | 44% | 42% | 13% | 30% | 22% |
Form: Ossett United: LDWLLDDLDWWDLDWWLLL • Matlock Town: DLDWWWWWWLWWLWDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Ossett United | Matlock Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 7 | 17 | 23 | 21 | 44 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| GA total | 13 | 13 | 26 | 9 | 15 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ossett United | Matlock Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 68% | 94% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 32% | 67% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 16% | 39% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 11% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ossett United | Matlock Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ossett United | Matlock Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ossett United | Matlock Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 7-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-6 | 4-1 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ossett United | Matlock Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 26% | 74% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 33.0% | 67.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Matlock Town
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ossett United = 1.12 (league 1.33), Matlock Town = 2.22 (league 1.23)
| Matlock Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ossett United | 0 | 3.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.1% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 59.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1