Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 15:00 •
Bradley Community Stadium
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.30)
0.97 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.0% | 36.1% | 47.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
24.7%
0 - 1
23.9%
0 - 2
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| North Ferriby | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Grimsby Borough | 0 | 24.7% | 23.9% | 11.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Grimsby Borough | North Ferriby |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 22% | 33% |
| Defense | 72% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Grimsby Borough | North Ferriby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 9 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| Wins | 27% | 44% | 35% | 38% | 36% | 37% |
| Draws | 27% | 33% | 30% | 63% | 36% | 47% |
| Loses | 45% | 22% | 35% | 0% | 27% | 16% |
Form: Grimsby Borough: WDDWDDWWWLLDLDLWLWLL • North Ferriby: LDWDLDWWWDWWDDDDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Grimsby Borough | North Ferriby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 12 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 12 | 12 | 24 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Grimsby Borough | North Ferriby | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 70% | 63% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 30% | 42% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 5% | 21% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Grimsby Borough | North Ferriby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Grimsby Borough | North Ferriby |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Grimsby Borough | North Ferriby |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 6-1 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Grimsby Borough | North Ferriby |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 50.3% | 49.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Grimsby Borough or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Grimsby Borough = 0.43 (league 1.30), North Ferriby = 0.97 (league 1.36)
| North Ferriby | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Grimsby Borough | 0 | 24.7% | 23.9% | 11.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.0% · Draw 36.1% · Away win 47.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1