Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 15:00 •
Grounsell Park
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.30)
0.51 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5% | 20.8% | 9.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.5%
2 - 0
16.1%
3 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Ashington AFC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heaton Stannington | 0 | 9.5% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.5% | 9.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.9% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Heaton Stannington | Ashington AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 40% |
| Attack | 50% | 33% |
| Defense | 72% | 28% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Heaton Stannington | Ashington AFC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| Wins | 33% | 50% | 42% | 33% | 18% | 25% |
| Draws | 33% | 40% | 37% | 33% | 18% | 25% |
| Loses | 33% | 10% | 21% | 33% | 64% | 50% |
Form: Heaton Stannington: WLDDLWDDWWDDLWLWDWW • Ashington AFC: LDLDLDLWWWLLLDDLLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Heaton Stannington | Ashington AFC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 17 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 13 | 12 | 25 | 14 | 22 | 36 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Heaton Stannington | Ashington AFC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 53% | 55% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 42% | 30% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 26% | 5% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 15% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Heaton Stannington | Ashington AFC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Heaton Stannington | Ashington AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Heaton Stannington | Ashington AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Heaton Stannington | Ashington AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 72% | 28% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 59.8% | 40.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Heaton Stannington or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Heaton Stannington = 1.84 (league 1.30), Ashington AFC = 0.51 (league 1.36)
| Ashington AFC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heaton Stannington | 0 | 9.5% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.5% | 9.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.9% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.5% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 9.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1