Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 15:00 • Grounsell Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.35) 0.58 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.4% 22.1% 11.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.8%
2 - 0
14.9%
1 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Ashington AFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heaton Stannington 0 9.5% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.8% 9.8% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.9% 8.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.8% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHeaton StanningtonAshington AFC
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack50%33%
Defense72%28%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 113 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Heaton Stannington Ashington AFC
HATHAT
Played9101991120
Wins33%50%42%33%18%25%
Draws33%40%37%33%18%25%
Loses33%10%21%33%64%50%
Heaton StanningtonWLDDLWDDWWDDLWLWDWW
Ashington AFCLDLDLDLWWWLLLDDLLLWW

League goals

Metric Heaton Stannington Ashington AFC
HATHAT
GF total11172812618
GF avg1.21.71.51.30.50.9
GA total131225142236
GA avg1.41.21.31.62.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHeaton StanningtonAshington AFC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%53%55%85%
1.547%42%30%45%
2.521%26%5%30%
3.55%5%0%15%
4.50%5%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHeaton StanningtonAshington AFC
HATHAT
Clean sheets459213
Failed to score145279

Penalties

MetricHeaton StanningtonAshington AFC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHeaton StanningtonAshington AFC
Wins23
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-01-2
Biggest losses1-53-01-45-0
Goals For2432
Goals Against5345

Model comparison

MetricHeaton StanningtonAshington AFC
Form63%38%
Att60%40%
Def72%28%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total59.8%40.3%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Heaton Stannington
vs
Ashington AFC
Non League Div One - Northern East • England • Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 15:00 • Grounsell Park
Expected goals
1.78
Heaton Stannington xG League Avg: 1.35
Total
2.36
0.58
Ashington AFC xG League Avg: 1.20
1x2 probabilities
Home
65.4%
Draw
22.1%
Away
11.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
16.8%
Tip
2 - 0
14.9%
Tip
1 - 1
9.8%
More chances
1.5+
76%
Chance
2.5+
53%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
64%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
#HeatonStannington #AshingtonAfc #NonLeagueDivOneNorthernEast #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Heaton Stannington = 1.78 (league 1.35), Ashington AFC = 0.58 (league 1.20)

Ashington AFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heaton Stannington 0 9.5% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.8% 9.8% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.9% 8.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.8% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.4% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 11.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1