Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:00 •
Securicorp Stadium
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.28)
1.32 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.8% | 28.7% | 53.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.7%
0 - 0
14.2%
0 - 2
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| North Ferriby | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Newton Aycliffe | 0 | 14.2% | 18.7% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Newton Aycliffe | North Ferriby |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 13% |
| Attack | 26% | 13% |
| Defense | 39% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Newton Aycliffe | North Ferriby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 12 | 26 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 21% | 33% | 27% | 33% | 27% | 30% |
| Draws | 21% | 25% | 23% | 47% | 47% | 47% |
| Loses | 57% | 42% | 50% | 20% | 27% | 23% |
Form: Newton Aycliffe: LWLLWDLLDLLDLWWDWLLDWLWLDL • North Ferriby: LDWDLDWWWDWWDDDDDLWDDWWDLLDLLD
League goals
| Metric | Newton Aycliffe | North Ferriby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 19 | 32 | 20 | 17 | 37 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 21 | 23 | 44 | 17 | 14 | 31 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Newton Aycliffe | North Ferriby | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 73% | 60% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 50% | 43% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 27% | 17% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 12% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Newton Aycliffe | North Ferriby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Newton Aycliffe | North Ferriby |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Newton Aycliffe | North Ferriby |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 5 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 6-2 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Newton Aycliffe | North Ferriby |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 51.0% | 49.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Newton Aycliffe or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Newton Aycliffe = 0.63 (league 1.28), North Ferriby = 1.32 (league 1.25)
| North Ferriby | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Newton Aycliffe | 0 | 14.2% | 18.7% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.8% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 53.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1