Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 19:45 • Securicorp Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.32) 0.84 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.9% 31.2% 27.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.8%
0 - 0
14.6%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Ashington AFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newton Aycliffe 0 14.6% 12.2% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.8% 13.3% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.6% 7.2% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewton AycliffeAshington AFC
Played55
Form7%53%
Attack14%21%
Defense7%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newton Aycliffe Ashington AFC
HATHAT
Played151328151631
Wins20%31%25%27%31%29%
Draws20%23%21%33%19%26%
Loses60%46%54%40%50%45%

Form: Newton Aycliffe: LWLLWDLLDLLDLWWDWLLDWLWLDLLL • Ashington AFC: LDLDLDLWWWLLLDDLLLWWWWLLLDDWLWD

League goals

Metric Newton Aycliffe Ashington AFC
HATHAT
GF total131932151126
GF avg0.91.51.11.00.70.8
GA total222648292655
GA avg1.52.01.71.91.61.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewton AycliffeAshington AFC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%75%52%71%
1.539%50%26%42%
2.511%29%6%29%
3.54%11%0%19%
4.50%4%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewton AycliffeAshington AFC
HATHAT
Clean sheets437459
Failed to score83117815

Penalties

MetricNewton AycliffeAshington AFC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNewton AycliffeAshington AFC
Wins24
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-33-00-2
Biggest losses1-46-20-85-0
Goals For4332
Goals Against4685

Model comparison

MetricNewton AycliffeAshington AFC
Form11%89%
Att40%60%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h80%20%
Goals75%25%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ashington AFC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newton Aycliffe = 1.09 (league 1.32), Ashington AFC = 0.84 (league 1.25)

Ashington AFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newton Aycliffe 0 14.6% 12.2% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.8% 13.3% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.6% 7.2% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.9% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 27.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1