Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Grounsell Park
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.37)
1.11 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.7% | 28.0% | 33.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
11.8%
0 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Hallam | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heaton Stannington | 0 | 9.6% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 13.2% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Heaton Stannington carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 37 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Heaton Stannington -42.6, Hallam -34.9.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Heaton Stannington
vs
Hallam
Elo gapHeaton Stannington +37
Home / draw / away41% / 26% / 33%
Expected home share55%
Combined Elo2940.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2940.7
Elo home share
55%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Heaton Stannington | Hallam |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1471.5 | 1469.2 |
| Form Elo | 1458.9 | 1460.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1495 | 1495.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1456.6 | 1454.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1523.8 | 1493.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -42.6 | -34.9 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Heaton Stannington last-5 Elo change: -42.6; Hallam last-5 Elo change: -34.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Heaton Stannington | Hallam |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 20% |
| Attack | 25% | 6% |
| Defense | 44% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Heaton Stannington | Hallam | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 21 | 37 | 19 | 19 | 38 |
| Wins | 38% | 38% | 38% | 21% | 37% | 29% |
| Draws | 31% | 24% | 27% | 47% | 21% | 34% |
| Loses | 31% | 38% | 35% | 32% | 42% | 37% |
Heaton StanningtonWLDDLDWDDWWDDLWLWDWWWWDLLDLLWLWWLLLWL
HallamDDDWLDLLWDLDDWLLWLWDDWDWDLLLWWDDWLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Heaton Stannington | Hallam | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 29 | 48 | 21 | 24 | 45 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 17 | 27 | 44 | 25 | 26 | 51 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Heaton Stannington | Hallam | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 57% | 71% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 35% | 29% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 19% | 16% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 5% | 3% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Heaton Stannington | Hallam | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 9 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Heaton Stannington | Hallam |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Heaton Stannington | Hallam |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 4-1 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Heaton Stannington | Hallam |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 80% | 20% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 54.3% | 45.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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